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Uncertainty

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Uncertainty

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Writing 11

EssayWhy does a plan refuse to run?Stopping before execution when a skill version changes in the a2 demo, and the distinction between code identity and correctness.EssayThe trace of a correction in EvidrelSource, scope and review decisions: how a correction preserves an old record and changes its subsequent use in Evidrel’s local research notebook.EssayHow do we publish an unsuccessful experiment?From an ADL experiment that missed its target to Evidrel’s decision traces: keeping expectations, observations and later explanations distinct.EssayWhat do we learn when an experiment does not deliver the expected result?An ADL experiment comparing two proposals: the quality result, the cost of selection, and the new question opened by a negative finding.EssayWhen should an agent stop?Completion, repetition, shared budgets, uncertain actions and authorization in a2: what must we know before taking the next step?EssayWhen should we stop using a result?Source changes, corrections and conditional inferences in Evidrel: when should we stop relying on a record while keeping it?EssayFollowing research in AutoriteFollow questions through two publication spaces into research records, and read results with their scope and limits.EssayFrom identity to criteria: Autorite’s philosophyAutorite series · 2/4 · Philosophy. Revisable distinctions, relational questions and preserving the unknown.EssayFrom a question to a testable investigationAutorite series · 3/4 · Method. Scope, comparisons, predeclared decisions and traceable records.EssayWhen does history help? The RP002A applicationAutorite series · 4/4 · Application. Three synthetic worlds, seven comparisons and the completed study’s limits.EssayKLM: why unknown is not zeroWhat changes when a missing measurement becomes zero? KLM’s honest-null principle and epistemic states.

Work 2

Objecta2A Python agent that checks solutions externally and investigates reuse of verified executable skills. Development alpha.ObjectKLM — Knowledge Layers ModelAn open-source record contract and validation toolkit for knowledge provenance, evidence relationships and assessment traces in language-model outputs.

Research 4

ResearchERM — relational memory prototypeEvaluating an event pattern and statements about that event together with their context and sources.ResearchADL — AI-Directed LearningAn experimental programme testing learning interventions for quality at the same total budget.ResearchEvidrel — relational patterns and research recordsDistinct prototypes for pattern extraction, evidence selection and review after source changes.ResearchRGM — Relational Space / H1aTesting derived contexts for evidence retrieval against fixed schemas and comparison controls.

Other connections 3

BookThe Singularity Is NearA book exploring how technological development might transform human biological limits. A reading around artificial intelligence, visions of the future and the uncertainty of predictions.BookThe Name of the RoseA novel exploring knowledge, interpretation and the search for truth through a murder investigation in a monastery.BookThe Black SwanA book questioning major unpredictable events, the limits of knowledge and the explanations we construct after the fact.

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Memory Relation Intelligence Knowledge City Context Meaning Time Software Design Systems History Photography Representation Evidence Uncertainty Preservation Reachability

A missing measurement is not zero, and failing a benefit criterion does not automatically establish equivalence. The record should state which uncertainty is present.

KLM’s honest-null approach and Autorite’s preservation of indeterminate outcomes approach this concept through different applications.

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Evidence

Missing or indeterminate evidence remains explicit in the record.